Alexey Vatutin vs Kirill Kivattsev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Kivattsev's second serve has recently been more effective, winning 47.74% of points compared to Vatutin's 41.49%. Could this give Kivattsev an advantage in rallies? It seems likely.
• When returning the opponent's second serve, Kivattsev leads slightly, winning 46.91% of points, while Vatutin is close behind at 45.84%.
• For first serve return points, Vatutin surpasses Kivattsev, winning 31.12% over Kivattsev's 25.33%. Will this impact the baseline rallies?
• Kivattsev excels under pressure, saving 56.48% of breakpoints, whereas Vatutin saves 45.51%. Could this resilience be crucial in tense moments?
• In terms of overall match wins in the past year, Kivattsev has a slight edge with a win rate of 61.64% compared to Vatutin's 59.72%.
• Kivattsev performs best on Grass with a 75% win rate, whereas Vatutin is stronger on Hard courts with a 60% win rate.
• Player level and event type reveal Kivattsev has been more successful in ITF tournaments, while Vatutin has faced tougher competition in Challenger events.
• Vatutin has competed against higher-ranked opponents (average rank 397.9), compared to Kivattsev's average rank of 459.89.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Vatutin is favored, having won 67% of deciding sets as opposed to Kivattsev's 50% success rate.
• Break point conversion shows Vatutin with a higher success rate of 36.46%, compared to Kivattsev's 31.36%, indicating a potential advantage during crucial moments.

Editorial Prediction (July 10, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the current form and statistics of both players, Kivattsev has shown consistent performance on second serve and has a slight advantage when under pressure, particularly in saving breakpoints. However, Vatutin demonstrates superior skills in first serve returns and against higher-ranked opponents.

The players’ surface preferences could also play a significant role, with Kivattsev excelling on Grass and Vatutin on Hard courts, suggesting that the court type of the upcoming match may influence the outcome.

When factoring in event-level experience, Vatutin has encountered stronger competition, which could provide him with an edge in high-stakes scenarios.

Given these insights, while Kivattsev shows some strong areas, Vatutin's performance against tough competition, better deciding set ratios, and higher break point conversion might tip the balance in his favor. Therefore, considering all elements, Vatutin is slightly favored to win this upcoming match.